
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$468K
Liquidity
$405K
24h Move
+1.0 pts
Ends
May 31, 2026

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$463K
Liquidity
$101K
24h Move
-0.7 pts
Ends
May 17, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$421K
Liquidity
$552K
24h Move
-2.2 pts
Ends
May 31, 2026

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$415K
Liquidity
$249K
24h Move
-0.1 pts
Ends
May 16, 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$335K
Liquidity
$980K
24h Move
-0.1 pts
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$281K
Liquidity
$557K
24h Move
-1.0 pts
Ends
Jun 30, 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
GeneralTradeable
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$272K
Liquidity
$181K
24h Move
-0.7 pts
Ends
Jun 30, 2026

