General可交易

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

当前概率
1%
成交量
$4.2M
流动性
$192K
结束时间
2026年5月31日

AI 市场简报

  • 这个市场在预测:Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
  • 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 1%、No 为 99%,反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
  • 最近值得关注,因为 24h 成交约 $386K,概率变化为 -,结束时间为 15 天后。

市场背景

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.