GeneralTradeable

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Probability
1%
Volume
$4.2M
Liquidity
$192K
Ends
May 31, 2026

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
  • Current prices imply roughly 1% for Yes and 99% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $386K, the probability move is -, and it ends In 15 days.

Market Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? - Polymarket Market Analysis | PolymAlpha