Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

• 这个市场在预测：Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
• 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 18%、No 为 83%，反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
• 最近值得关注，因为 24h 成交约 $136K，概率变化为 -1.0 pts，结束时间为 138 天后。

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.