Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

• This market is forecasting: Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
• Current prices imply roughly 18% for Yes and 83% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
• It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $136K, the probability move is -1.0 pts, and it ends In 138 days.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.