Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

• 这个市场在预测：Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
• 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 2%、No 为 98%，反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
• 最近值得关注，因为 24h 成交约 $478K，概率变化为 +0.5 pts，结束时间为 45 天后。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.