Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

• This market is forecasting: Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
• Current prices imply roughly 2% for Yes and 98% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
• It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $478K, the probability move is +1.0 pts, and it ends In 45 days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.