General可交易

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

当前概率
37%
成交量
$180K
流动性
$44.3K
结束时间
2027年2月1日

AI 市场简报

  • 这个市场在预测:Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
  • 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 37%、No 为 64%,反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
  • 最近值得关注,因为 24h 成交约 $165K,概率变化为 -10 pts,结束时间为 122 天后。

市场背景

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.