GeneralTradeable

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Probability
37%
Volume
$180K
Liquidity
$44.3K
Ends
Feb 1, 2027

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
  • Current prices imply roughly 37% for Yes and 64% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $165K, the probability move is -10 pts, and it ends In 122 days.

Market Context

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? - Polymarket Market Analysis | PolymAlpha