
GeneralTradeable
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
- Probability
- 1%
- Volume
- $3.5M
- Liquidity
- $235K
- Ends
- May 16, 2026
AI Market Brief
- This market is forecasting: Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
- Current prices imply roughly 1% for Yes and 99% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
- It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $350K, the probability move is -, and it ends Today.
Market Context
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.