General可交易

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

当前概率
1%
成交量
$2.7M
流动性
$253K
结束时间
2026年10月4日

AI 市场简报

  • 这个市场在预测:Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
  • 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 1%、No 为 99%,反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
  • 最近值得关注,因为 24h 成交约 $271K,概率变化为 -0.4 pts,结束时间为 141 天后。

市场背景

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? - Polymarket 市场分析 | PolymAlpha