
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
- 当前概率
- 54%
- 成交量
- $131K
- 流动性
- $13.1K
- 结束时间
- 2028年1月1日
AI 市场简报
- 这个市场在预测:Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
- 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 54%、No 为 46%,反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
- 最近值得关注,因为 24h 成交约 $73.7K,概率变化为 -16 pts,结束时间为 457 天后。
市场背景
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.