GeneralTradeable

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability
3%
Volume
$84M
Liquidity
$1.8M
Ends
Jul 20, 2026

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
  • Current prices imply roughly 3% for Yes and 97% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $2.9M, the probability move is +0.3 pts, and it ends In 20 days.

Market Context

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? - Polymarket Market Analysis | PolymAlpha