GeneralTradeable

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Probability
100%
Volume
$902K
Liquidity
$569K
Ends
Dec 31, 2026

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
  • Current prices imply roughly 100% for Yes and 0% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $890K, the probability move is +93 pts, and it ends In 229 days.

Market Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.