General可交易

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

当前概率
14%
成交量
$12M
流动性
$583K
结束时间
2026年12月31日

AI 市场简报

  • 这个市场在预测:Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
  • 当前价格大致表示 Yes 为 14%、No 为 87%,反映市场对结果的即时概率判断。
  • 最近值得关注,因为 24h 成交约 $897K,概率变化为 +1.0 pts,结束时间为 184 天后。

市场背景

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.