GeneralTradeable

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Probability
100%
Volume
$74.2K
Liquidity
$41.2K
Ends
May 16, 2026

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
  • Current prices imply roughly 100% for Yes and 0% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $66.0K, the probability move is +88 pts, and it ends Today.

Market Context

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16? - Polymarket Market Analysis | PolymAlpha