
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?
- Probability
- 95%
- Volume
- $264K
- Liquidity
- $26.0K
- Ends
- Oct 2, 2026
AI Market Brief
- This market is forecasting: Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?
- Current prices imply roughly 95% for Yes and 5% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
- It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $264K, the probability move is +45 pts, and it ends Tomorrow.
Market Context
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is lower than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is higher than the final "Close" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.