GeneralTradeable

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?

Probability
100%
Volume
$227K
Liquidity
$49.5K
Ends
Oct 2, 2026

AI Market Brief

  • This market is forecasting: Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?
  • Current prices imply roughly 100% for Yes and 0% for No, reflecting the crowd's live probability view.
  • It is worth watching now because 24h volume is about $219K, the probability move is +0.2 pts, and it ends Tomorrow.

Market Context

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2? - Polymarket Market Analysis | PolymAlpha